31.12.08_Views

Today market will open +ve.... NIFTY: S-2960,2900 R:3005,3040-50
Stock: ONGC, GSPL(+ve). And now Happy New Year to you all in advance........Jignesh Rathod

30.12.08_Views

Todya market set to open +ve... but expect profit booking from the upper level ... today recommend to sell on rise...
Nifty: S-2900,2860,2800 R-3000,3040 Stock: RELIANCE, RNRL, TATAMOTORS, SATYAM Remember don't jump on the opening wait till it settles down....

29.12.08_Views

Today Market set to open -ve.... NIFTY: s-2800/2760 R-2860,2900,2960
Stocks: SATYAM, RPL, CAIRN

26.12.08_Views

Today market may open +ve .... NIFTY: S-2900,2860 R-2960,3000,3040
Today on the verge of expectation of 2nd stimulus package and RBI's rate cut expectation in near future can take market on the upside.....
keep watch on : Syndicate Bank, Reliance Ind, RCom, RCapital, SBI

24.12.08_Views

Today market may open -ve.... NIFTY: S-2900,2860 R-2960,3000,3040 Stocks to watch: WIPRO,UNITECH,CAIRN,SATYAM

23.12.08_Views

Today market may open lower .... NIFTY: S-3000,2960 R-3090,3125,3140

Stock to watch: CAIRN, RIL, SBI

But don't jump on the opening ..... let it consolidate....

22.12.08_Views

Today market may open flat..... NIFTY: S-3000,2960 R-3090,3125,3140

19.12.08_Views

Today mkt will open -ve due to global cues... NIFTY: S-3000,2960,2940 R-3090,3125
Today's strategy will be to short but short with the proper stoploss.....

18.12.08_Views

Today market will open flat to +ve.... NIFTY: S-2940,2900,2860 R-3000,3012,3040 Stocks: RCOM(-ve) other recommendation will be provided on msngr during mkt hours
Sorry, Friends for yesterday I was busy for my Medical Check-up.... so I havn't posted....

16.12.08_Views

Today Market will opne -ve... NIFTY: S-2900,2860 R-3012,3040 Stock: keep watch on CAIRN INDIA other recommendation will be provided during mkt hours on msngr

15.12.08_Views

Today market will open +ve don't jump on start let it settle down.... Stock: recommendatio will be provided during mkt...on msngr

12.12.08_Views

Today Market will open down .... Nifty: S-2860,2800 R-2940,2960,3000-05
Stock and other recommendation will be provided during the mkt...
Those who have delivery of RNRL with them can sell it so that they can get lower prices and minimize their loss or maximize their profit...

11.12.08_Views

Today market will open flat.... Nifty: S-2900,2860,2800 R-2960,3005,3040 Stock: STER(+ve) and other will be provided during the session

10.12.08_Views

Today market will open +ve... Nifty: s-2700,2660 R-2800,2860
Stocks: today no scrip specific recommendation just one advise 'Sell on rise'

08.12.08_Views

Today mkt will open in +ve due to stimulus package and RBI policy... Nifty S: 2760,2700 R: 2800,2840,2860,2900
Stock: today I don't need to tell you which stock will work but stay away with Realty and keep watch on other from me: SESAGOA

05.12.08_Views

Today market will open -ve Nifty S: 2700,2640,2600 R: 2800,2840,2860
Stock: Punjloyd looks good but wait for confirmation
Other recommendations will be provided during mkt.....

04.12.08_Views

Today mkt will open +ve... NIFTY: S-2600,2570 R-2700,2760,2800
Stock: MARUTI(-ve) other recommendation will be provided during mkt....

03.12.08_Views

Today market will open +ve and will continue the trend .......Nifty: S-2600,2570 R-2700,2760
Stock: Rcom, RIL, INDOTECH(+ve)

02.12.08_Views

Today market will open with panic.... but for further suggestions wait for mkt to consolidate... For -ve outlook wait for closing below 2520 and for +ve outlook wait for closing above 2860....

Nifty Short Term outlook......

In this I have posted short-term outlook for NIFTY but you should strictly follow the levels given in the same.......

Remember any close below said level(2520) will lead to bear's land and can see good sell-off.
If you can't read please click on the image you will get better view ........

Enjoy trading....

What every Investor ought to know?

Not Investment Rules but Investment Observations!

1. There is no investment rule that always works.

If there was one single rule, which always worked, everybody would in time follow it and, therefore, everybody would be rich. But the only constant in history is the shape of the wealth pyramid, with few rich people at the top and many poor at the bottom. Thus, even the best rules do change from time to time.

2. Stocks always go up in the long term.

This is a myth. Far more companies have failed than succeeded. Far more countries' stock markets went to zero than markets, which have survived. Just think of Russia in 1918, all the Eastern European stock markets after 1945, Shanghai after 1949, and Egypt in 1954.

3. Real Estate always goes up in the long term.

While it is true that real estate has a tendency to appreciate in the long run, partly because of population growth, there is a problem with ownership and property rights. Real estate in London was a good investment over the last 1000 years, but not for America's Red Indians, Mexico's Aztecs, Peru's Incas and people living in countries, which became communists in the 20th century. All these people lost their real estate and usually also their lives.

4. Buy Low and Sell High.
The problem with this rule is that we never know exactly what is low and what is high. Frequently what is low will go even lower and what is high will continue to rise.

5. Buy a basket of high quality stocks and hold!
Another highly dangerous rule! Today's leaders may not be tomorrow's leaders. Don't forget that Xerox, Polaroid, Memorex, Digital Equipment, Burroughs, Control Data were the leaders in 1973. Where are they today? Either out of business or their stocks far lower, than in 1973!

6. Buy when there is blood on the street.
It is true that very often, bad news provide an interesting entry point, at least as a trading opportunity, into a market. However, a better long term strategy may be to buy on bad news, which has been preceded by a long string bad news. When then the market no longer declines, there is a chance that the really worst has been fully discounted.

7. Don't trust anyone!
Everybody is out to sell you something. Corporate executives either lie knowingly or because they don't know the true state of their business and the entire investment community makes money on you buying or selling something.

8. The best investments are frequently the ones you did not make!
To make a really good investment, which will in time appreciate by 100 times or more, is like finding a needle in a haystack. Most "hot tips" and "must buy" or "great opportunities" turn out to be disasters. Thus, only take very few investment decisions, which you have carefully analyzed and thought about in terms of risk and potential reward.

9. Invest where you have an edge!
If you live in a small town you may know the local real estate market, but little about Cisco, Yahoo and Oracle. Stick with your investments in assets about which you may have a knowledge edge.

10. Invest in Yourself!
Today's society is obsessed with money. But the best investments for you may be in your own education, in the quality of the time you spend with the ones you love, on your own job, and on books, which will open new ideas to you and let you see things from many different perspectives.

"Regrets I have always taken full responsibility for my actions and never blamed anybody else for what went wrong. As a result I have no regrets. However, lending money to friends has been a disappointing experience since neither has ever any of the money lent ever been returned nor did the friendship continue!" - by Mark Faber

View on P-notes and CRR cut

As our great economy is facing problems this days.

Our economical god called RBI come and gives hope to investers that we are pumping 20000cr in economy. And one night SEBI got dream that why not give chance to FIIs to have full access from P-notes by abolishing 40% limit.

Now analysing this two point
1. RBI Cuts CRR and pumping 20000 cr in economy.

Analysing this situation we feel wow! great. Now our market will bounce back because we have good liquidity.

But anyone who feels that just having 20000 cr we can change the market situation no............way when FIIs having crores of selling our 20000cr will compensate in 2-3 days.

So, don't feel anything good about it. One benefit will be there which is of call money rates may come down.

2. Abolishing 40% limit of P-notes for FIIs
SEBI was happy to announce that now they think FIIs will attract to buy(not sell) from their this step. And we will see upmoves in our market.
But the situation could be bothside agree that there will me more flow from FIIs but it could be on anyside buying or selling ..................

So, be cautious about market because everything u see it's not true and everything u see it's not roung
enjoy view everyday with our blog and save urself from big losses(not profit)

NIFTY_VIEWS_post

As per the graph Nifty will face strong resistance around 4310-4320 level and downside tgt could be 3550-3500 if 3800-3790 level keep ur fingures crossed and strictly follow the levels u will gain if technicals really works(which have been working till now)!!!!

For querry : surfer13jignesh@yahoo.co.in/surfer13jignesh@gmail.com

or

yahoo ID : surfer13jignesh

Keep visiting this blog..........................

For daily market view : send SMS "JOIN NIFTY_VIEWS" to 567678

Cycle of any market

“Once upon a time there was a small island nation. The territory and of this nation was comprised entirely of the island itself. The total money in circulation in the country was £2 as there were only two £1 coins in circulation.
There were only 3 citizens of this country, all of who lived on the island. Citizen A owned the land and citizens B and C each owned £1.
The following event came to pass:
1) B decided to purchase the land from A for £1. So, A and C now each owned £1 while B owned a piece of land that is worth £1.
The net assets of the country were £3.
2) C thought that since there is only one piece of land in the country and considering land is non-producible asset, its value must definitely go up. So he borrowed £1 from A and, together with his own pound, he bought the land from B for £2.
A has a loan to C of £1, so his net assets were £1.B sold his land and received £2, so his net assets were £2.C owned the land worth £2 but with his £1 debt to A, his net assets were £1.
The net assets of the country were £4.
3) A saw that the land he once owned had risen in value, and regretted selling it. Luckily, he had loaned £1 to C. He then borrowed £2 from B and and acquired the land back from C for £3. The payment was by £2 cash (borrowed) and cancellation of the £1 loan to C.
A now owned the land that is worth £3. But since he owed B £2, his net asset was £1.B had loaned £2 to A. So his net asset was £2 in the form of B’s debt.C now had the 2 pound coins. His net asset was also £2.
The net assets of the country was £5.
4) B saw that the value of land kept rising. He also wanted to own the land. So he bought the land from A for £4. The payment was by borrowing £2 from C and cancellation of his £2 loan to A.
A now had his debt cleared and he obtained the £2 coins. His net asset was £2.B owned a piece of land that is worth £4 but since he had a debt of £2 to C, his net assets were £2.C loaned £2 to B, his net assets were £2.
The net asset of the country were £6. Even though, the country had only one piece of land and £2 in circulation.
5) Everybody had increased there worth and everybody felt happy and prosperous.
6) One day an evil notion entered into the mind of C. “What if the land price stop going up, how could B repay my loan. After all there are only £2 in circulation in our economy, I think that the land that B owns is probably only worth £1 at the most”.
C discussed his idea with A, who after some thought, agreed.
7) Shortly afterwards nobody wanted to buy land.
A owned the 2 pound coins, his net assets were £2.B owed C £2 and the land he owned which he thought was worth £4 was now worth only £1. His net assets became £1 debt, so negative.C owns the £2 debt of B. B is unable to pay this, so it is a bad debt. Although his net asset is still £2, he was getting a little nervous.
The net asset of the country were £3 again.
Who had stolen the £3 from the good citizen of this country? Of course, before step 7 B thought his land worth £4. Actually, right up to just before the collapse, the net assets of the country were £6 on paper. B His still owns £2 of bad debt.
The net asset of the country were £3 again.
8 ) B had no choice but to declare bankruptcy. C acquired the land from B so to recuperate his £2 of bad debt from B. The was now worth £1.
A owns the 2 pound coins, his net assets are £2.B is bankrupt, his net assets are zero.C ended up with a land worth only £1 (C lost £1)The net assets of the country are £3.
The End
The moral of the story: there is a redistribution of wealth.
A is the winner,B is the loser,C is lucky to be spared.
1) When a bubble is building up the debt within a country also builds up.
2) The island is a closed system where no other countries are involved and hence there is no foreign debt. The worth of the asset (land) can only be calculated using the island’s own currency. Hence, there is no net loss. This is not the case in an open system, where there can be net loss.
3) An over-damped system is assumed when the bubble bursts, the land’s value did not go down to below £1.
4) When the bubble burst, the person with cash wins. Those owning the land or extending loans to others lose. Their assets shrink or in worst case, they go bankrupt.
5) If there is another citizen D either holding a pound or another piece of land who declines to take part in the speculation he will neither win nor lose. But he will see the value of his money or land go up and down.
6) When the bubble is in the growing phase, everybody makes money.
7) If you know that you are living in a growing bubble, it is worthwhile to borrow money (like A) and take part in the speculation. But you must know when you should change everything back to cash.
8 ) The above applies to stock and commodities as well.
9) The worth of the particular assets depends largely on psychology.”

Power of Compounding

How much can you make in 25+ years by just investing Rs.10,000 initially in any of financial instruments ?
Let us look at the real time example…
If you have subscribed in 100 shares of ________ company with a face value of Rs. 100 in 1980…
In 1981 company declared 1:1 bonus = you have 200 shares
In 1985 company declared 1:1 bonus = you have 400 shares
In 1986 company split the share to Rs. 10 = you have 4,000 shares
In 1987 company declared 1:1 bonus = you have 8,000 shares
In 1989 company declared 1:1 bonus = you have 16,000 shares
In 1992 company declared 1:1 bonus = you have 32,000 shares
In 1995 company declared 1:1 bonus = you have 64,000 shares
In 1997 company declared 1:2 bonus = you have 1,92,000 shares
In 1999 company split the share to Rs. 2 = you have 9,60,000 shares
In 2004 company declared 1:2 bonus = you have 28,80,000 shares
In 2005 company declared 1:1 bonus = you have 57,60,000 shares
At the end of 2005…
You have 57,60,000 shares of the company
Any guess about the company ? Its an Indian company
Any guess about the present valuation ?
The result of ‘Power of Compounding’
Your present valuation is about
Rs. 200 Cr.+ & The company is ‘WIPRO’